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Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: Revenue grew 41% year-over-year to $28.5M, gross margin held at 62%, and diluted EPS reached $0.10; Adjusted EBITDA rose to $4.3M, reflecting leverage from the Compact Launcher (CL) launch and dealer channel strength .
- Versus estimates: Revenue slightly beat consensus ($28.505M vs $28.467M*) and EPS materially beat ($0.127 primary EPS* vs $0.07*), while standardized EBITDA also beat ($3.89M* vs $3.17M*) .
- Guidance and outlook: Management reiterated a steady-state production cadence of 15,000 units/month, expects full-year effective tax rate ~23%, and indicated 25–40% YoY growth is a reasonable near-term range; CL availability on Amazon (including Prime Day) and expansion at Sportsman’s Warehouse underpin H2 momentum .
- Catalysts: CL ramp and broader retail footprint (Sportsman’s program scaling toward ~140 stores by year-end) and influencer-driven awareness should drive distribution gains; inventory built ahead of CL launch supports availability and near-term cash recovery as levels normalize .
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong topline and profitability: Revenue hit a record $28.5M (+41% YoY), gross profit rose to $17.6M with a 62% margin, and Adjusted EBITDA increased to $4.3M; diluted EPS of $0.10 was supported by higher sales .
- Dealer channel surge and retail expansion: Dealer sales rose 106% YoY, aided by initial stocking orders and rollout of 22 store-within-a-store locations (14 with shooting pods); company-owned stores averaged ~$69K in May sales with Scottsdale reaching Las Vegas levels .
- Product launch success and marketing innovation: The CL (38% smaller than SD) is now on Amazon and featured in Prime Day; management is integrating AI tools to accelerate creative testing—“banana” ad creativity improved ROAS at near-zero cost .
What Went Wrong
- Channel mix and OpEx pressure: Operating expenses rose to $14.2M (+33% YoY) on variable selling, payroll, and discretionary marketing; channel mix shift toward dealers required careful margin management despite favorable CL mix .
- Inventory draw and working capital: Cash and marketable securities declined to $13.0M from $25.7M at FY-end due to inventory build ahead of CL; inventory increased to $32.3M, with management planning to normalize over coming quarters .
- Consumer softness: Management flagged subdued consumer sentiment, higher abandoned cart rates, and “dog days” seasonality; near-term demand may be tempered outside promotional periods and civil unrest-related spikes .
Financial Results
Versus consensus (Q2 2025):
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Sales channel mix (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024):
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The launch of the Byrna CL in May helped us deliver a record $28.5 million in revenue for the second quarter… we expect that the CL will be a larger part of our sales mix, especially now that it is available to customers on Amazon.”
- “Our dealer channel is also becoming a larger percentage of total sales, increasing 106% in the second quarter, supported by our partnership with Sportsman’s Warehouse.”
- “We are now producing at a steady state pace of 15,000 units per month… with a smaller, more agile workforce.”
- “We did see strength during the week where the riots were occurring in Los Angeles… sales were probably up by 40% versus the prior week… you can use 25% to 40%… as a very good range for the year.”
- “Adjusted EBITDA… totaled $4.3 million… compared to $2.8 million in Q2 2024.”
Q&A Highlights
- Demand trends and consumer softness: Management observed transient spikes during civil unrest and broader softness reflected in higher abandoned cart rates; nonetheless, they view 25–40% YoY growth as a reasonable range near term .
- Sportsman’s rollout clarity: Clarified distinction between shooting pods and store-within-store; planned installation of nine additional pods and staffing with “Byrna geniuses,” aiming for ~140 Sportsman’s stores by year-end .
- Channel mix outlook: Expect brick-and-mortar to grow faster than online; within online, Amazon to outpace Byrna.com; large untapped audience via Sportsman’s e-commerce .
- Recurring revenue strategy: Introducing Byrna Care (subscription-like protection plan) and planning a CL chipset next year to enable connected features (e.g., geolocation alerts), creating SaaS-like revenue streams .
- OpEx/inventory trajectory: One-off CL launch expenses in Q2; expect elevated marketing in Q3; production reduced and inventory levels expected to normalize to bolster cash .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 beats: Revenue slightly beat consensus ($28.505M actual vs $28.467M*), primary EPS beat materially ($0.127* vs $0.07*), and standardized EBITDA exceeded consensus ($3.89M* vs $3.17M*) .
- Forward quarters setup: Consensus implies sequential growth in Q4 2025 revenue ($34.799M*) and EBITDA ($6.14M*) with EPS estimates rising; CL Amazon availability, Sportsman’s expansion, and international momentum could support upward revisions if execution sustains. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- CL launch and Amazon listing are driving mix and margin benefits, with LE cannibalization acceptable given CL’s 7–8 percentage point margin advantage and stronger consumer value proposition .
- Dealer channel is accelerating—initial Sportsman’s stocking orders and store-within-store model are scaling; staffing and incentives (spiffs) aim to improve in-store conversion and throughput .
- Working capital normalization is a near-term cash lever as production resets to 15k/month and inventory converts to sales through H2 .
- Marketing innovation (AI-enabled creative) and a broadened influencer roster continue to deliver high-ROAS campaigns, reducing CAC and supporting DTC growth .
- International royalty and distributor momentum add diversification; optionality to re-acquire LATAM upon sustained profitability creates a call-option on regional scale .
- Near-term trading: The EPS and EBITDA beats vs consensus and Amazon Prime Day placement are positive; watch weekly sell-through at Sportsman’s and inventory draw rates for confirmation of H2 trajectory .
- Medium-term thesis: Category normalization, retail footprint expansion, domestic manufacturing/resilience against tariffs, and nascent recurring revenue streams (Byrna Care, chipset) broaden the profit pool and de-risk execution .
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.